Diamond Beneficiation in Decline in Namibia and South Africa and
Stagnant in Botswana
The wages of
diamond cutters in Botswana and India are not dissimilar yet in India there are 800,000
cutters and in Botswana only 3,750. The difference between the two countries
stems largely from the productivity of workers. De Beers in its 2014 Diamond
Insight Report has said that the cost of cutting in 2013 ranged from $60-120/ct
in Botswana while in India the range varies from $10-50 per carat. In other
words in the smaller diamonds, Botswana is six times more expensive than India
and for the larger more expensive stones, it is almost three times as expensive
because of low productivity, low cost of ancillary services as well as the number
of working days in the year - 232 in Botswana as opposed to
over 280 days in India. That is the reason that Botswana is limited to
commercially cutting stones of one carat rough and above.
The only bit
of good news is that at the top end Botswana is becoming a slightly cheaper place
to produce than was the case five years ago. But the other two smaller southern
African diamond producing countries which are trying to beneficiate diamonds ie
Namibia and South Africa are actually more expensive locations than Botswana
and it is for that reason along with the supply of rough and what the industry
considers draconian beneficiation requirements etc. are also very important
issues here) that employment in South Africa has almost halved in the last five
years in diamond cutting from 1,800 workers in 2008 to 1,000 in 2013. The
situation in Namibia is almost as bad with employment falling from 1,500 in
2008 to 970 in 2013. In other words, with the exception of Botswana diamond
beneficiation is going backwards in the main producing countries of Southern
Africa. Indeed the costs of cutting in both Namibia ($60-140/ct) and South
Africa (130-150/ct) are higher and tend to be rising faster than in Botswana.
But the increase in beneficiation and the increase in employment is
mandated under a 2006 agreement between De Beers and the Government of Botswana.
If the world’s
‘diamantaire’ had their way no cutting
or polishing would occur in Botswana and Southern Africa at all. The answer as to
why cutting occurs in Africa is as De Beers politely puts it in its publication
because of ‘government policy’. In other words if you are a De Beers
sightholder and you want Botswana or Namibian or South African rough diamonds
then you have to process some of them here. How much? So far the answer is not very
much at all. In 2013 about 23 million
carats of rough were produced in Botswana and if the Statistics Botswana figures
are to be believed the total volume of polished exports was a mere 273,000
carats in 2013. Assuming it takes 2.5 carats of rough to produce 1 carat of
polished diamonds Botswana is in effect exporting 3% of its rough produce. While
the value of cut diamond exports has been rising from Botswana the volume of
diamond production has been more or less stagnant over the last five years of
the De Beers agreement,
At first the
results of the efforts of diamond beneficiation i.e. 3% of production looks
very unimpressive until you consider that because of the low productivity in Botswana
and the fact that 80% of diamonds coming out of the ground are very small (ie
less than 0.2 carat) most diamonds have to be processed in low cost centres
like Mumbai and Surat in India where there are 800,000 Indians working cutting
diamonds. Jewellery and cut diamonds is India’s biggest manufacturing sector
and it exists because the Indians have been able to produce cut diamonds
cheaply and because they have access to Africa’s diamonds. The Indians
emphasize the former and ,dangerously, tend
to take for granted the latter.
The employment
numbers, costs and the general direction of beneficiation are not encouraging in
Namibia and South Africa. In Botswana the results are better but require a real
reassessment by all governments as to what is being done throughout Southern
Africa. Both Zimbabwe and Angola also have serious aspirations to cut and
polish diamonds as well. The failure of diamond beneficiation is a direct
result of the failure of industrial policy to address the fundamental issues of
productivity in these infant industries. In Botswana for example there is not
even a diamond school to train cutters and polishers who have been trained by
individual firms in the industry. But a school is the least of the issues. It
is necessary to come to terms with workers and unions on the productivity issue
or the potential benefits of diamond beneficiation will be lost to India
permanently. Industrial policy in Africa has helped to create infant industries
but has rarely if ever had sufficient focus on the boring, expensive and very ‘un-sexy’
issues of nurturing the infant industry to become globally competitive.
Often there is
contradictory policies that serve to weaken beneficiation. On the one hand
governments want beneficiation but in the case of Botswana they also want diamond
trading independent of De Beers so the buyers from state owned Okavango
Diamonds which currently sells some 13% of national production is exempted from
the beneficiation obligations and its buyers can simply take their diamonds
elsewhere for cutting. This figure is set to rise to 25% over time. Many diamantaire
reason - why buy from De Beers and be forced to operate an inefficient factory
in Botswana when you can buy from Okavango or Lucara and just send your diamonds to India for cutting.
The thinner the profit margins for cutting become the more the complaints mount
from De Beers siteholders. But it is one thing to complain, quite another to
give up a secure De Beers site which assures constant supply of diamonds for profitable Asian factories.
The
unfortunate response of some policy makers to the low productivity and stunted
development of this infant industry, is as so frequently the case, to merely
look for more value added activities such as jewellery making rather than doing
the hard graft of addressing productivity issues in the cutting and polishing industry.
This involves working with firms and workers to develop appropriate ways of addressing
the productivity and cost issues which in turn involves money which governments
are unwilling to provide. This is the hard tedious work of day to day
industrial policy and there are no simple or pat answers to raising
productivity and becoming internationally competitive but if successful it is
an activity that could create employment for tens of thousands of African
workers.
But perhaps
the most difficult and useful question is how do you deal with the unions and
the workers? If you listen to some of the employers they simply wish the unions
would go away and they be allowed to increase productivity and take all the
increase in profits. Such an approach is unworkable and what is needed is a way
of assuring that part of any increase in productivity goes to the workers Without
such a productivity sharing arrangement and a partnership between unions and
employers, industrial policy will not
work in the diamond cutting sector.
From a short
term perspective the best outcome would be exactly what the world’s diamantaire expect, that the infant
African industries will go into terminal decline, as appears to be the case already
in Namibia and South Africa, and India will resume its ‘rightful place’ as the natural
home of diamond cutting and polishing of Africa’s diamonds. In Africa this
outcome will be a political disaster and no thinking ‘diamantaire’, whether Asian or European should wish for as the
complete failure of beneficiation as it may well prompt a knee jerk inward
looking reaction from African governments when it comes to dealing with diamond
trade.
These are the views of the author professor
Roman Grynberg and not necessarily those of any institution with which he may
be affiliated
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