Saving the Diamond Towns
Namibia has its
fair share of ghost towns that have come about largely because a mineral
deposit or precious stones has gone into terminal decline. The old diamond
mines of southern Namibia of Kolmannskoop and Pomona declined purely as a
result of the end of diamond deposits. It is said that at the height of the Klondike
gold rush in Canada in the 1860’s Dawson (current population 1130) was the
fourth largest town in North America. The decline and disappearance of some
towns are not always a result of the end of a mineral deposit. The ancient town
of Petra in the Jordanian dessert declined as a center it is believed because
of shifts in the spice trade. When the
economic foundations of a town disappear, so does the town. But the people who
live there hang on hoping that their homes will not suffer the same fate as
those of who owned what was once precious property in Kolmannskoop.
Some mining
towns do not go into terminal decline such as Johannesburg which has remained a
thriving metropolis even as the great gold deposits of the rand mines become
deeper and smaller. The continuing wealth of Johannesburg stems from the fact that some 2 billion ounces,
or half the world’s total production of gold came from the Rand fields. When a mining town
is able to continue for 135 years like Johannesburg then other sources of
economic activity can replace the mines and prosperity can continue but it
takes an extraordinary deposit like the Rand gold fields to sustain these towns for the length of time needed for
transformation. Johannesburg remains a
magnet for economic migrants, globalization has diminished its African trade role
as a center for the purchases of manufactured products. In the 1980’s and
1990’s African merchants and traders would flood into Joburg but now the
traders fly directly to Ghangzou in southern China and are able to completely
undercut anything made or traded directly through South Africa. Even
Joburg will struggle to redefine itself in the world of globalization.
Governments, in
fruitless attempts to placate the citizens of these dying towns, often try to
help avoid economic reality by financing unrealistic economic diversification strategies
through subsidy. In the Botswana town of Selebi Pikwe, the third largest town in
the country, the government with the help of the EU has poured countless
billions of rand into resuscitating and
diversifying the town away from nickel/copper mining. All the efforts failed
and as grades of nickel and copper fell the BCL mine has been closed and the
town now awaits what would appear to be its inevitable fate.
The subsidies that were provided
to Selebi Pikwe failed to attract an alternative economic basis. The once
thriving diamond town of Kimberly in SA has used ‘the Big Hole’ as a tourist
attraction and has turned its infamous history to its economic advantage in much the
same way as tours of the ghost towns of southern Namibia attract numerous tourists.
But they are no substitute for diamonds though tourism can be.
Swakopmund, which was very much
in economic decline following the departure of the Germans and the end of its economic
role as the capital of German south West Africa
also used tourism and retirement homes in a relatively pleasant
environment as a basis for economic diversification.
The small town of Oranjemund in
southern Namibia, at the mouth of the Orange River on the border with South
Africa will also face this problem once the mining of diamonds from the Orange river comes to an end, probably
somewhere around 2050. The lesson form the experience of Selebi Pikwe are clear
enough, subsidies to build factory shells that are commercially unsustainable
won’t work and only end up as kick-backs and bribes to those officials building
these rusting white elephants. The possibility of survival rests on
connectivity of the town with the outside world and finding a genuine
alternative commercial base for the town which is not one reliant on government
hand-outs.
So what is the best chance for
success? The problem is that both
Oranjemund, like the De Deers diamond town of Orapa in Botswana, are closed to outsiders and you require a permit to enter. This has been a
policy imposed by De Beers and has been in existence in Namibia since German
colonialism and is known as ‘Sperrgebiet’ ( German for ‘prohibited area’). The
policy exists to protect the diamond deposits from possible theft. Yet the key
to the long term survival of the town is
the opposite of Sperrgebiet- it is openness to the outside world. In theory Oranjemund can follow the tourism
path to diversification given its fabulous location. The key is to invest in
the sort of infrastructure that links the border town to South Africa and the
outside world. Selebi Pikwe in Botswana also flirted with tourism but after the
engineers who built its BCL smoke stack down wind of this small town, tourism
has always looked like a remote diversification strategy in a place plagued
with acid rain and foul smelling air.
In the end most diversification
strategies for one industry towns generally fail and mining towns normally become
ghost towns once the minerals are exhausted. The diversification strategies are most likely to fail when they focus on the
town itself rather than how to focus and change the economic base of the town on
the outside world and how this can be done in a commercially sustainable way.
These are the views of Professor Roman Grynberg and not necessarily
those of UNAM where he is employed.
No comments:
Post a Comment